Lawmakers have requested a report titled "Assessment of the Likely Course of the War in Ukraine" from the Director of National Intelligence, the Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, and the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency. The document is expected to reflect the effectiveness of Ukrainian defense forces both with and without American support, as well as taking into account the potential cancellation of permission to use long-range weapons from the U.S. against Russian territory.
Congress members are asking intelligence agencies to evaluate the impact on American interests of a hypothetical defeat of Ukraine, including Russia's capacity for further aggression, as well as similar plans from China, Iran, and North Korea, according to the article.
The report is to be prepared within 90 days following the December 11 approval of the 2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA). It will not be classified, but it is expected that some attachments will have restricted access, the article states.
It remains unclear how the forecast will incorporate the views of current intelligence chiefs and those who will be appointed by elected President Donald Trump after his inauguration on January 20, notes The Hill. For instance, he has proposed former Democratic Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard for the position of Director of National Intelligence, who has been critical of aid to Ukraine and has echoed Russian propaganda.